The following list of wide receivers have been filtered to show those that have achieved a 30% or higher team market share of receiving yards. There is a strong correlation between market share production and pro-bowl potential. This has been researched extensively by James Cobern at draftcobern.wordpress.com.
In the list I have highlighted the data that is the roughly in the highest third of the list and summed the number of highlights at the end of each row. The aqua highlighted names are my favorites for draft picks. The yellow highlighted names are also prospects that I like.
Bold names are receivers that meet certain physical characteristics related to arm length and hand size. I used the following criteria
- 6-2 or taller with 32 5/8-inch arm length
- 6-1 or shorter with 29 ¾-inch arm length
- 8 7/8-inch hand size
The column success rate measures what percent of the receivers plays were deemed successful in relation to down and yardage gained.
Tre’Quan Smith is a big receiver with good speed and solid hands. He is a red zone threat and tied for 2nd most receiving TDs among draft eligible receivers. Smith is also one of college football’s best deep threats. He was tied for 6th among draft prospects with 20 receptions of 20+ yards and had the most touchdown receptions on deep passes among all FBS wide receivers. He will go up and fight for jump balls and makes some spectacular catches. Smith is also an exceptional run blocker. He has some issues with drops though that has improved in 2017.
DaeSean Hamilton has an intense work ethic. He’d run routes at 6 a.m. on the practice field. He’d catch balls on the Jugs machine, sometimes 100, or 200 with a teammate. Hamilton is 9th in active career leaders for receptions and receiving yards. In 2017 he was 7th in receptions of 20+ yards. According to Pro Football Focus he was first among FBS receivers with a catch rate of 73.3% on deep passes (20+ yards) for receivers with a minimum of 10 deep targets. Dane Brugler, senior analyst at NFLdraftscout.com has Hamilton rated as one of the top three receivers for route running.
James Washington was ranked 24th in receptions in 2017 but 1st in receiving yards. He was 4th in receiving TDs and 1st in yards per game. Washington was tied for 2nd in plays of 20+ yards. According to Pro Football Focus his 815 deep receiving yards was 1st among FBS receivers. Not just a deep threat, Washington’s QB had a perfect passer rating when targeting him on slant routes. Washington also averaged 9.3 yards after the catch on slants in 2017. James has a strong work ethic and has not missed a game in four seasons.
Micah Holder is my dark horse prospect being rated as 108 out of 321 wide receivers. His pro day results were very good. He had a 40″ vertical which would be tied for tops at the combine among receivers. He also did good in the short shuttle and 3 cone drills for what would have been 3rd and 10th respectively. Besides having 31.7% of the team’s receiving yards, Micah has a good catch rate and success rate. His review at draftanalyst.com depicts a sure handed receiver that runs good routes and makes difficult catches.
Here is the file of receivers as an excel spreadsheet – wide receivers.xls