2019 NFL Draft Quarterback Prospects Meeting “Seven Rules” of Bill Parcells

With now 13 teams eliminated from the NFL playoffs and college bowl games commencing, I take a look at the 2019 college quarterback class. Specifically quarterbacks that meet Bill Parcells’ seven rules for drafting a quarterback.

The Bill Parcells’ seven rules for drafting a quarterback are

1. Be a three-year starter

2. Be a senior in college

3. Graduate from college

4. Start 30 games

5. Win 23 games

6. Post a 2-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio

7. Tally a completion rate of 60 percent or higher.

 

Drew Brees announces the Saints’ draft pick at the NFL 2010 Draft
Author – Marianne O’Leary
This file is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic license

Quarterbacks to check all seven boxes since 1999 are Drew Brees, Robert Griffin III, Byron Leftwich, Matt Leinart, Andrew Luck, Eli Manning, Marcus Mariota, Chad Pennington, Philip Rivers, Tim Tebow, Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph. The 2019 NFL draft class quarterback prospects that meet all seven of these are the following nine prospects.

The Prospects

Ryan Finley

North Carolina State

Ryan Finley has improved his passing yards, completion percentage and passer rating each of the last three years. In  2018 he was ninth in the nation in completion percentage (67.9%) and eighth in passing yards (3,789).  In the ACC conference he was first in passing yards per attempt (8.4) and passing touchdowns (24). He made the 2018 All-ACC Football First-Team. December 31st you can see Finley in the Taxslayer Bowl at 7:30 pm (ET) on ESPN.

Brett Rypien

Boise State

Brett Rypien is the 2018 Mountain west Conference Player of the Year. He is ninth in the nation in passing yards (3,705) and passing touchdowns (30). Brett made the Pro Football Focus All-Mountain West First Team. PFF analysts also had Rypien as the fifth top quarterback heading into bowl season, second most big-time throws and best quarterback on third down. Rypien has a 77% win percentage with 48 career starts and is a 4 year starter. Brett has passed for a career 13, 578 yards which is 12th most in FBS history since 2000 and highest among active college quarterbacks. Brett Rypien is one of ten finalists for the 2018 Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award. You can see Rypien in the First Responder Bowl on December 26th at 1:30pm (ET) on ESPN.

Eric Dungey

Syracuse

Eric Dungey is tie for ninth in the nation in rushing touchdowns (15) and one of only two quarterbacks that high on the list.  He is first in the ACC Conference in touchdowns responsible for (32).  A dual-threat quarterback, Dungey is one of only seven quarterbacks in 2018 that had a minimum 15 passing touchdowns and 700 rushing yards. A Pro Football Focus preseason look at the top 2019 draft prospects had Dungey listed as number nine among quarterbacks. Eric Dungey is one of ten finalists for the 2018 Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award. You can see Dungey in the Camping World Bowl on December 28th at 5:15pm (ET) on ESPN.

Jake Browning

Washington

Jake Browning was in the top five in the Pac-12 in passer rating each of the last three seasons. He was first in 2016 and 2017. He was in the top three in the Pac-12 in passing yards per attempt each of the last three seasons. Jake has a 75% career win percentage at Washington and has started 52 games over four years. He has more victories than any other player in Pac-12 Conference history. In 2016 Browning was Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year and First-Team All-Pac-12. Browning holds the Washington passing touchdowns records for career, single season and single game. Since his elite year in 2016 Browning has trended downwards. In 2018 Browning threw only 16 touchdowns to 10 interceptions. Jake Browning has a career passer rating of 151.9. That is seventh best among college quarterbacks over the last five years that passed for over 10,000 yards. You can see Browning in the Rose Bowl on January 1st at 5pm (ET) on ESPN.

Justice Hansen

Arkansas State

Justice Hansen made the Sun Belt Conference 2018 First-Team and was named the Sun Belt Player of the Year.  He was also the 2017 Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year.  Hansen was number one in the Sun Belt Conference in Pass Completion Percentage (67%), Passing Yards per Attempt (8.2), Passing Yards (3,172), Passing Touchdowns (27), Passer Rating (155.6) and Touchdowns Responsible For (33). Hansen is a dual-threat quarterback. In 2018 Hansen was one of only eleven quarterbacks to have a minimum completion percentage of 60%, throw 19+ touchdowns, pass for 500+ yards and rush for 300+ yards. Justice Hansen, Manny  Wilkins and Jordan Ta’amu were the only seniors of the eight and with Kyle Murray choosing to play baseball Hansen, Wilkins and Ta’amu are the only draft eligible prospects on the list. You can see Justice Hansen in the Arizona Bowl on December 29th at 1:15pm on CBS Sports Network.

Brent Stockstill

Middle Tennessee State

Brent Stockstill was awarded Conference USA Most Valuable Player and made the C-USA First team.  He was number sixth in the nation in Pass Completion Percentage (70.1%) and tenth in passing touchdowns (29).  He is one of 20 quarterbacks to have five or more 300+ yard passing games in 2018 (5). His career passing completion percentage of 65.4% is fourteenth among college quarterbacks over the last 5 years that had a minimum 5,000 career passing yards.  Among current quarterbacks he was topped only by Dwayne Haskins, Kyler Murray and Will Grier, all three potential first round picks. Brent’s career 106 passing touchdowns is 17th among college quarterbacks since 2000 and tops among current quarterbacks. Brent played in the New Orleans Bowl on December 15th in the 45-13 loss to Appalachian State. Brent was sacked six times and threw two interceptions. However Brent still showed his passing talent completing 25 of 37 for 330 yards. He made some bad decisions throwing up one for grabs on one interception to avoid a sack.

Marcus McMaryion

Fresno State

Marcus McMaryion is seventh in the nation in Pass Completion Percentage (68.6%) and Total Yards (3,923).  His Pass Completion percentage is tops in the Mountain West Conference. At ten games thru the 2018 season Pro Football Focus has Marcus leading the nation’s quarterbacks in red zone passer rating (124.4). McMaryion squared up against Manny  Wilkins in the Las Vegas Bowl on December 15th.  Fresno State came away with the win  31-20. Marcus did not look that impressive and had one of the lower rated games of his season completing just 52% and with only 1 rushing touchdown and two interceptions.

Manny Wilkins

Arizona State

According to Pro Football Focus, in 2017 Manny Wilkins held the nation’s fourth highest passer rating on deep passes of 20+ yards among draft eligible quarterbacks. He had the highest passer rating on deep passes among all Pac-12 quarterbacks. In 2017 Wilkins threw 14 passes of 40+ yards which was tie for tenth most in the nation. From the 2016 season thru 2018 Manny Wilkins was tie for the second most games with a completion percentage of 60% or better with 27 games. Wilkins is a dual-threat quarterback. Manny, Justice Hansen and Jordan Ta’amu  were the only seniors on a list of eleven quarterbacks that in 2018 had a minimum completion percentage of 60%, threw 19+ touchdowns, passed for 500+ yards and rushed for 300+ yards. Manny played on December 15th in a 31-20 loss in the Las Vegas Bowl.

Gus Ragland

Miami (OH)

Among the top 100 quarterbacks for touchdown passes over the last five years, Gus Ragland has the eighth best touchdown to interception ratio at 4.7.  Among active quarterbacks he is beat out only by Tua Tagovailoa and Dwayne Haskins both projected first round picks. Ragland is the 2018 All-Mac Third Team.

The Data

Here is a spreadsheet with the data on these nine quarterbacks. They are sorted by 2019 quarterback class rank as determined by nfldraftscout.com. Also included is a column listing their Bowl games.

2019 QBs meeting Parcells 7 rules

In Conclusion

This view ruled out all the underclassmen quarterbacks that may dominate the first round for quarterback selections. It is not an end-all approach to drafting quarterbacks. However it does present a view that has some merit. Parcells’ rules look for experienced, accurate quarterbacks that show good ball security, find ways to win and finish things they start. In the competitive world of college football just to be a three year starter says a lot about the prospect. These are good traits to look for in a quarterback.

Enjoy the College Bowl Games!

 

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