Week Eight – Giants Versus Lions

The Giants travel to Detroit this week to take on the Lions. Here are some random facts about this matchup.

The Lions have played six games so far this season and five of those games ended with a point difference of less than seven points. The Lions were 2-2-1 in those games. The teams they played in those games were the Cardinals, Chiefs, Chargers, Eagles and Packers. That number of games with a <+/- 7 point differential leads the league and ties the Cardinals and Seahawks.

Both the Giants and Lions have second year head coaches. They are two of six teams with 2nd year coaches. At 7-16 Schurmur has the sixth lowest current win percentage in the league. All lower win percentages are first year coaches. At 8-13-1 Patricia has the ninth lowest current win percentage.

The Lions have Mathew Stafford at quarterback. Statistically Stafford is having the best year of his 11 year career. He currently has his highest quarterback rating (101.7), highest yards per passing attempt (8.0), third best touchdown percentage and second best interception percent. He has 13 touchdowns to 3 interceptions on the year. He has his third best passing yards per game (291.8). His completion percentage of 62.4% is not as high coming in at sixth best. But it matches his career average.

Detroit is third in the league in passing 1st down percent at 40.4%.  They are sixth in passing plays of 20+ yards (28) and have played one less game than the top 14 teams. They are fifth in passing touchdowns and sixth in passing interceptions. Detroit ranks sixth in passing yards per game (277).

Detroit has the third best passer rating in the league for home games with a 108.4. They are in a four way tie for second in passing touchdowns at home. That home field advantage does not translate on defense where they are 20th in opponent passer rating at home (96.8).

According to playoffstatus.com both teams have about an equal probability of making the playoffs. the Giants have a 16% probability of winning their division a 1% chance of making a wildcard. The Lions are given a 4% probability of taking their division and a 10% for a wildcard.

The Lions have three ex-Giants that are significant contributors. They are Damon Harrison,  Devon Kennard and Romeo Okwara. Kennard and Okwara lead the Lions in quarterback hits. Harrison has been injured and is questionable for the game.  He has two sacks on the year. Kennard leads the team with three sacks.

Giant receiver Golden Tate spent 4.5 years on the Lions where he was their lead receiver for 2 years and number two the other two. So far this year Tate is averaging 6.6 yards after the catch which is his career trademark.  That is good for ninth among league wide receivers. Tate led all wide receivers in YAC in 2014 and 2017. Evan Engram has 6.5 yards after the catch average. That is fourth best among tight ends in the league. The Giants are currently fifth in the NFC in yards after the catch with 810 yards.

The Giants are 28th in yards per game allowed with 388. The Lions are 31st with 428 yards allowed. For 3rd down percent allowed the Giants are 17th with 40% and the Lions are 26th with 46%. On passer rating allowed the Lions are 17th with a 90 rating allowed and the Giants are 23rd with a 100 rating allowed. Detroit has the least amount of yards gained by penalties committed by the opposition.

Daniel Jones has regressed since a very good start in his first two games. His passer rating of 74.9 over five starts is 24th among 34 starting quarterback’s first five starts over the last eight seasons. However take heart. Rookie stats are often not as they seem. The quarterback Jones most matches up with thru five starts in that list is Russell Wilson.

Games Passing Rushing Fumbles
Year Tm G GS Cmp Att Inc Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Sk Yds Y/A AY/A Att Yds Y/A TD Fmb
2019-2019 NYG 5 5 104 171 67 60.82 1127 6 7 74.9 18 126 6.59 5.45 18 116 6.44 2 5
Per Game Average 20.8 34.2 13.4 225.4 1.2 1.4 3.6 25.2 3.6 23.2 0.4 1
Per 16 Games 333 547 214 3606 19 22 58 403 58 371 6 16
Year Tm G GS Cmp Att Inc Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Sk Yds Y/A AY/A Att Yds Y/A TD Fmb
2012-2012 SEA 5 5 79 125 46 63.2 815 5 6 75.2 10 80 6.52 5.16 27 92 3.41 0 1
Per Game Average 15.8 25 9.2 163 1 1.2 2 16 5.4 18.4 0 0.2
Per 16 Games 253 400 147 2608 16 19 32 256 86 294 0 3

 

Enjoy the game!

Added 10/23:

Just ran a query on starting quarterbacks since 2012 that over their first five starts have a 60% Pass completion, 1000+ passing yards, 6+ Passing Touchdowns and a Passer rating of 70 or better sorted by age.

 

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